PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

3c90

0x658ee899b5bf234ac532300160bcdd3473b0c413

Realised P&L
$-141.31
Volume
$113.4k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$113.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 07:35Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?BUY0.996$1.01
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07-15 07:34Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.997$1.01
07-15 07:34Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$1.01
07-15 07:33Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$1.01
07-15 07:31Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 15?BUY0.9989990208$1.01
07-15 07:31Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 15?BUY0.9949993794$1.01
07-15 07:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?BUY0.999$1.01
07-15 07:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?BUY0.998$1.01
07-15 07:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?BUY0.998$1.01
07-15 07:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?BUY0.995$1.01
05-06 20:22Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on May 6?BUY0.997$1.08
05-06 20:20Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on May 6?BUY0.999$2.18
05-06 20:13Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?BUY0.999$1.82
05-06 20:12Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.995$1.30