3c90
0x658ee899b5bf234ac532300160bcdd3473b0c413
- Realised P&L
- $-141.31
- Volume
- $113.4k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $113.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$0.41at 0.602Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will Frankfurt win the Bundesliga?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 07:35 | Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:35 | Will any other model be the best AI model on July 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9899990296 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:34 | Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:34 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:33 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.9989990208 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.9949993794 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.01 |
| 05-06 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.08 |
| 05-06 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on May 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.18 |
| 05-06 20:13 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.82 |
| 05-06 20:12 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.30 |