0x658aF35874Bf99F2BcdCF3c039AA7b64858f7aFe-1778614143073
0x658af35874bf99f2bcdcf3c039aa7b64858f7afe
- Realised P&L
- $12.55
- Volume
- $598.65
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $50.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.861 | 0.865 | $50.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.77at 0.256Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$13.39at 0.772Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$9.65at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$8.32at 0.809Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?
- +$7.73at 0.567Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:40 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.8613861364 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 18:48 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 19:44 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 18:56 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 18:55 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 18:53 | Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.8099999754 | $25.00 |
| 07-05 04:42 | Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.7899999573 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 19:55 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 19:53 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 11:17 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 11:16 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 11:15 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 11:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 19:42 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 19:36 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |