0x657d6d075f786a9d350713079bdf5bece492fae3
- Realised P&L
- $-34.23
- Volume
- $455.11
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $16.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.065 | $12.64 | −$22.36 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.055 | $3.44 | −$6.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.69at 0.650US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$-8.00at 0.042Will the US strike Somalia next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-23 10:12 | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999962 | $35.00 |
| 01-15 22:31 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.0419999951 | $8.00 |
| 01-15 22:29 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 01-15 22:21 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |