FernandoMeza
0x657846e32e72f89ad75ba48bda7e609d0649de25
- Realised P&L
- $29.67
- Volume
- $933.66
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $109.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.100 | $59.78 | +$0.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.077 | $45.73 | +$0.35 |
| Will Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.070 | $3.54 | +$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.67at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.109 | $5.28 |
| 10-10 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.12036 | $6.02 |
| 10-10 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1084112007 | $14.25 |
| 10-10 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 10-10 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.80 |
| 10-10 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.109494 | $21.90 |
| 10-10 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0989361702 | $4.65 |
| 10-10 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.0925891911 | $2.62 |
| 10-10 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.0868758404 | $1.94 |
| 10-10 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.086 | $1.03 |
| 10-10 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.085 | $0.43 |
| 10-10 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.27 |
| 10-10 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 10-10 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.082 | $0.82 |
| 10-10 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.081 | $0.89 |