0x6563c721A5359449370bfEc1A8D80B1dB581Fc6B-1769241850931
0x6563c721a5359449370bfec1a8d80b1db581fc6b
- Realised P&L
- $205.38
- Volume
- $207.6k
- Markets traded
- 649
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded649
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on September 16? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$0.62 |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.11at 0.970Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$10.58at 0.906Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$8.86at 0.113Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland?
- +$7.24at 0.930Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$6.79at 0.965MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $325.69 |
| 08-07 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 08-07 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 45°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 08-03 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-27 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $148.42 |
| 07-25 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $691.77 |
| 07-24 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C or higher on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $375.63 |
| 07-24 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C or higher on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 07-24 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.07 |
| 07-24 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $95.00 |
| 07-23 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.07 |
| 07-23 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.96 |
| 07-22 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $204.92 |
| 07-22 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.42 |
| 07-20 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on July 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $196.73 |