PolyBot

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Traders

Akex76

0x655df310d380b85f72f82f9873cf613c14788d47

Realised P&L
$-708.59
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$30.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1100.042$20.75$34.25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1600.029$5.56$25.57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2270.040$3.95$18.80
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? · Yes0.4960.000$0.00$599.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-20 09:43Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?SELL0.074$1.48
01-24 16:54Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?BUY0.1$10.71
01-24 00:27Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?BUY0.011$1.02
01-23 10:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?BUY0.41$20.50
01-23 07:50Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?BUY0.09$27.00
01-23 05:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL0.16$16.00
01-23 03:45Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?BUY0.831046$41.55
01-23 02:49US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?BUY0.984$9.84
01-23 02:31Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?BUY0.991$9.91
01-23 02:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.979$39.16
01-22 00:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.13$26.00
01-21 10:18Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.23$69.00
01-20 06:50Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.2$26.00
01-20 06:15Megaquake by June 30?BUY0.63$6.30
01-20 06:08Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.46$13.80