Akex76
0x655df310d380b85f72f82f9873cf613c14788d47
- Realised P&L
- $-708.59
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $30.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.042 | $20.75 | −$34.25 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.029 | $5.56 | −$25.57 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.040 | $3.95 | −$18.80 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? · Yes | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$599.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.50at 0.498US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$102.00at 0.582US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$74.20at 0.429Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$19.00at 0.220Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
- +$15.00at 0.370US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-20 09:43 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | SELL | 0.074 | $1.48 |
| 01-24 16:54 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.71 |
| 01-24 00:27 | Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.02 |
| 01-23 10:08 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 01-23 07:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $27.00 |
| 01-23 05:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 01-23 03:45 | Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23? | BUY | 0.831046 | $41.55 |
| 01-23 02:49 | US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 01-23 02:31 | Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 01-23 02:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $39.16 |
| 01-22 00:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 01-21 10:18 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $69.00 |
| 01-20 06:50 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $26.00 |
| 01-20 06:15 | Megaquake by June 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 01-20 06:08 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |