0x655c82635ed1537eeb5c1d7cd3269fd3be41f3d1
0x655c82635ed1537eeb5c1d7cd3269fd3be41f3d1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.84
- Volume
- $259.66
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $1.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.300 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.490 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.94at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$2.85at 0.349Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.50at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$2.50at 0.379Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:37 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:42 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:40 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:20 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:06 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:43 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:43 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:41 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:41 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |