0x655b67a2ce82788fa6f68ea75a8aa6aa4b8432f9
0x655b67a2ce82788fa6f68ea75a8aa6aa4b8432f9
- Realised P&L
- $0.94
- Volume
- $198.48
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $5.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.670 | 1.000 | $2.93 | +$0.97 |
| Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $135.5? · No | 0.220 | 0.480 | $2.18 | +$1.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.659Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?
- +$0.00at 0.629Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?
- +$0.00at 0.610Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$0.00at 0.797Will PepsiCo say "Inflation" during earnings call?
- +$0.00at 0.708Will Trump say "ICE" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:17 | Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.5999999195 | $1.49 |
| 11-01 14:03 | Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:57 | Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:51 | Will US gas hit $4.24 (High) the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.8899999449 | $2.26 |
| 10-31 11:03 | Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $135.5? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 10:48 | Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999771 | $2.16 |
| 10-31 02:20 | Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? | BUY | 0.7099999549 | $1.89 |
| 10-31 02:06 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $60B? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 01:54 | Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.99 |
| 10-29 11:09 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 10:53 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 10:47 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 13:27 | Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5599998341 | $1.35 |
| 10-28 13:13 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.66 |
| 10-27 20:04 | Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4899998332 | $1.41 |