0x65522eb4642bc832c5e5d3b631552df73ffc4b23
- Realised P&L
- $-61.64
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $3.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.036 | $3.70 | −$6.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.89at 0.260Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$28.42at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$22.13at 0.625Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$21.15at 0.190US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$18.06at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 16:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.20 |
| 08-28 09:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30? | SELL | 0.988 | $0.81 |
| 08-28 01:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9839997428 | $1.01 |
| 07-17 12:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19? | SELL | 0.983 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 10:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.982 | $1.01 |
| 07-11 05:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.988 | $0.44 |
| 07-11 05:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.989 | $0.24 |
| 07-11 05:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.987 | $0.58 |
| 07-11 05:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.988 | $0.63 |
| 07-10 21:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.987 | $0.14 |
| 07-10 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.987 | $0.42 |
| 07-10 15:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.986 | $0.07 |
| 07-10 13:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.969 | $0.06 |
| 07-10 13:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.969 | $0.14 |
| 07-10 12:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.9699999904 | $1.01 |