PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

oieshfn345

0x65503c7f9e142ac88b1ce09df3363ff77f188451

Realised P&L
$283.9k
Volume
$61.76M
Markets traded
481
Open portfolio
$103.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded481
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.6270.875$100.2k+$28.4k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6610.805$1.7k+$310.42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.9230.930$961.95+$7.07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.0600.070$146.61+$20.94
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3900.355$7.10$0.70
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$179.52
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$5.2k
Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No0.4220.000$0.00$2.6k
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · No0.3040.000$0.00$1.9k
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$23.23
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · No0.1660.000$0.00$3.5k
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2930.000$0.00$7.8k
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? · No0.4930.000$0.00$9.5k
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$386.70
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 · Under0.1520.000$0.00$287.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 17:26Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.25$2.50
08-23 17:26Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.25$2.50
08-23 17:26Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.8$8.00
08-23 17:25Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.79$7.90
08-23 17:25Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.77$7.70
08-23 17:23Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.96$9.60
08-23 17:20Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.12$1.20
08-23 17:20Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.89$8.90
08-23 17:19Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.16$1.60
08-23 17:18Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.87$8.70
08-23 17:18Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.87$8.70
08-23 17:18Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.86$8.60
08-23 17:15Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.98$1.96
08-23 17:15Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.98$1.96
08-23 17:15Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.98$1.96