Crypto-brave
0x654baf1d00da91dd30989853a79e8be42b4d35e6
- Realised P&L
- $13.0k
- Volume
- $109.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $19.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.250Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$1.6kat 0.537Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$1.5kat 0.620Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$1.4kat 0.089Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$1.0kat 0.216Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 17:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.5k |
| 06-03 06:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.086 | $2.33 |
| 03-14 05:13 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.6k |
| 03-04 08:28 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $58.50 |
| 03-04 08:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.46 |
| 03-04 08:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0999 | $49.95 |
| 03-04 08:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.073 | $1.09 |
| 03-04 08:19 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.40 |
| 03-04 07:53 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.4k |
| 03-04 07:52 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.37 | $166.50 |
| 03-04 07:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 03-04 07:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4485 | $717.60 |
| 03-04 07:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $324.00 |
| 03-04 07:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $687.30 |
| 03-04 07:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.259915 | $441.86 |