PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Crypto-brave

0x654baf1d00da91dd30989853a79e8be42b4d35e6

Realised P&L
$13.0k
Volume
$109.2k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$19.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4370.720$7.7k+$3.0k
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4200.645$6.7k+$2.3k
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6790.815$4.9k+$822.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? · No0.2100.000$0.00$209.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.4260.000$0.00$20.37
Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$54.69
Fabric FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$32.99
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$3.10
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00$341.99
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$59.00
Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$96.44
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00$145.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.6150.000$0.00$12.16
Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$16.64
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? · No0.3500.000$0.00$78.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 17:10Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.69$6.5k
06-03 06:37Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.086$2.33
03-14 05:13Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.93$2.6k
03-04 08:28Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.45$58.50
03-04 08:20Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.13$5.46
03-04 08:20Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.0999$49.95
03-04 08:20Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.073$1.09
03-04 08:19Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.05$1.40
03-04 07:53Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.88$1.4k
03-04 07:52Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.37$166.50
03-04 07:50Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.26$26.00
03-04 07:45Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.4485$717.60
03-04 07:43Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.36$324.00
03-04 07:43Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.87$687.30
03-04 07:36Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.259915$441.86