PolyBot

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Traders

KaVlK52

0x654b8eb9d555179c2a0d49c59240009e7e18da0a

Realised P&L
$37.63
Volume
$327.08
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$45.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3? · Yes0.5800.545$13.63−$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3? · Yes0.5480.525$12.81−$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3? · Yes0.6400.645$9.68+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3? · Yes0.6200.615$9.22−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2? · Yes0.5700.001$0.02−$22.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$14.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$2.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 20:49Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.58$14.50
10-02 20:48Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3?BUY0.64$9.60
10-02 20:46Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.62$9.30
10-02 20:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3?BUY0.55$11.00
10-02 20:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3?BUY0.54$2.38
10-01 20:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?SELL0.36$8.64
10-01 13:12Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.55$28.60
10-01 12:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.54$16.16
10-01 11:56Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.57$22.80
09-30 13:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?BUY0.65$6.50
09-30 13:21Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.6$9.00
09-29 09:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.29$3.48
09-29 09:49Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?BUY0.56$5.60
09-29 09:34Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.57203$5.72
09-27 21:56Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?BUY0.44$6.60