MrParticle
0x654a6ea44662b2b79b93494f89d9050306dfd588
- Realised P&L
- $-761.09
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-36.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase? · No | 0.520 | 0.525 | $1.1k | +$9.81 |
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.727 | 0.870 | $38.14 | +$6.28 |
| Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase? · No | 0.800 | 0.695 | $23.29 | −$3.52 |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No | 0.640 | 0.710 | $23.05 | +$2.27 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$645.62 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.57 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Up | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
- +$0.81at 0.850Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 Baycurrent Classic?
- +$0.10at 0.907Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
- +$0.09at 0.758Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
- +$-0.09at 0.500Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:26 | Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase? | BUY | 0.5204669803 | $1.1k |
| 10-25 05:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.58 | $645.62 |
| 10-18 03:30 | Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series? | BUY | 0.2787003704 | $85.78 |
| 10-12 13:26 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.78 |
| 10-11 11:21 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.72 | $24.36 |
| 10-11 11:18 | Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase? | BUY | 0.8 | $26.81 |
| 10-10 13:06 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.5115994882 | $15.99 |
| 10-10 06:41 | Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores? | SELL | 0.8596721311 | $26.22 |
| 10-10 06:40 | Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.84 |
| 10-10 06:27 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.412 | $2.06 |
| 10-10 06:25 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.99 |
| 10-10 06:23 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.07 |
| 10-10 03:48 | Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 Baycurrent Classic? | SELL | 0.884 | $24.75 |
| 10-09 15:42 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.51 | $18.86 |
| 10-09 13:47 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.768 | $14.59 |