PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MrParticle

0x654a6ea44662b2b79b93494f89d9050306dfd588

Realised P&L
$-761.09
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-36.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase? · No0.5200.525$1.1k+$9.81
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7270.870$38.14+$6.28
Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase? · No0.8000.695$23.29−$3.52
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.6400.710$23.05+$2.27
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$645.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$4.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.5150.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:26Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?BUY0.5204669803$1.1k
10-25 05:46Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.58$645.62
10-18 03:30Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?BUY0.2787003704$85.78
10-12 13:26Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.64$20.78
10-11 11:21Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.72$24.36
10-11 11:18Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?BUY0.8$26.81
10-10 13:06Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.5115994882$15.99
10-10 06:41Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores?SELL0.8596721311$26.22
10-10 06:40Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores?BUY0.88$26.84
10-10 06:27Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.412$2.06
10-10 06:25Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.023$0.99
10-10 06:23Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.025$1.07
10-10 03:48Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 Baycurrent Classic?SELL0.884$24.75
10-09 15:42Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.51$18.86
10-09 13:47Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.768$14.59