0x6547f101Bedd03bf5abE79cf8F6ef48CAe728cE2-1764088579752
0x6547f101bedd03bf5abe79cf8f6ef48cae728ce2
- Realised P&L
- $-24.18
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 428
- Open portfolio
- $0.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded428
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.64at 0.160Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 27?
- +$13.77at 0.190Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 7?
- +$12.18at 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?
- +$10.20at 0.113Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?
- +$7.37at 0.150Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 09:10 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:16 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6689999177 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:15 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.23 |
| 09-22 12:02 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 17:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9519999695 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 10:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 10:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 10:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 09:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 3? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 09:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 10:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 2? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 10:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 09:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30? | BUY | 0.9099999469 | $1.20 |