PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x653B2b283494223Ee11D6f34A0E94b3b595CC68e-1773584049691

0x653b2b283494223ee11d6f34a0e94b3b595cc68e

Realised P&L
$-60.44
Volume
$102.8k
Markets traded
332
Open portfolio
$29.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded332
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? · Yes0.0140.007$12.71−$10.69
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.2700.285$10.56+$0.56
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0350.007$3.19−$11.81
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · No0.1300.075$2.88−$2.12
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$3.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Up0.1690.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00−$4.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? · Yes0.3870.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up0.2630.000$0.00−$19.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.2790.000$0.00−$33.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSELL0.82$30.40
11-01 19:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.4045387195$15.00
11-01 18:50Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.1099999981$4.00
11-01 17:14Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSELL0.01$0.54
11-01 17:11Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.2799999978$15.00
11-01 16:30Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.299999985$4.00
11-01 16:22Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSELL0.8$11.85
11-01 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.2699999966$4.00
11-01 16:16Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.1399999979$4.00
11-01 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.2$15.00
11-01 15:40Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.2599999896$4.00
11-01 15:35Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.2699999978$15.00
11-01 15:31Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.1499999981$4.00
11-01 15:30Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.329999996$15.00
11-01 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.2$4.00