qwezyh
0x6532c3d6ded270f7d25e8ce40a48d402f547dbb0
- Realised P&L
- $-18.86
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $2.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.970 | 1.000 | $1.06 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.977 | $1.06 | +$0.02 |
| Will MoistCr1TiKaL get a haircut in 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.500 | $0.77 | −$0.44 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.75 |
| 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.36at 0.660Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
- +$0.94at 0.780AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
- +$0.43at 0.949Will there be another debate?
- +$0.31at 0.860Supercopa Semfinal: Real Madrid vs. Mallorca
- +$0.18at 0.830Will Nina Ye win Best Young Actor / Actress at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 09:01 | Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $240.00 |
| 05-25 09:01 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $100.59 |
| 05-25 09:01 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $98.89 |
| 05-18 07:11 | Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $240.00 |
| 05-18 07:10 | Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $239.52 |
| 05-18 07:10 | Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $240.00 |
| 05-18 07:09 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.00 |
| 05-18 07:07 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 07:07 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 05-18 07:07 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 06:28 | Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $109.32 |
| 05-15 06:28 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.976 | $98.38 |
| 05-13 08:20 | Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $109.00 |
| 05-13 08:20 | Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $108.67 |
| 05-13 08:20 | Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $109.00 |