PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x65321c5dcd482a69778e40ad260d089f821b11af

Realised P&L
$-748.20
Volume
$15.2k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$253.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1560.041$248.47$707.04
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1300.011$4.60$47.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 10:41Will Artemis II launch by April 30?BUY0.1957151243$83.89
03-31 10:40Will Artemis II launch by April 30?BUY0.1092055886$9.95
03-31 10:39Will Artemis II launch by April 30?BUY0.1079999911$9.95
03-31 10:39Will Artemis II launch by April 30?BUY0.1079999067$1.00
03-31 10:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.16$105.28
03-02 04:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$312.00
03-02 04:01US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.24$54.54
03-01 01:32US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.4399999981$100.00
03-01 01:28Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.5934449975$168.10
03-01 01:28Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.026$43.51
02-28 21:53Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.0239014419$40.00
02-28 10:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.45$189.23
02-28 07:39Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.5754416775$163.00
02-28 07:27Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.389999999$164.00
02-28 07:26US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?SELL0.9841350014$328.04