0x65321c5dcd482a69778e40ad260d089f821b11af
- Realised P&L
- $-748.20
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $253.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.041 | $248.47 | −$707.04 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.011 | $4.60 | −$47.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.05at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$25.23at 0.390Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$5.10at 0.575Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.024Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-10.00at 0.110Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 10:41 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.1957151243 | $83.89 |
| 03-31 10:40 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.1092055886 | $9.95 |
| 03-31 10:39 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.1079999911 | $9.95 |
| 03-31 10:39 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.1079999067 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 10:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $105.28 |
| 03-02 04:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $312.00 |
| 03-02 04:01 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $54.54 |
| 03-01 01:32 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999981 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 01:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SELL | 0.5934449975 | $168.10 |
| 03-01 01:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $43.51 |
| 02-28 21:53 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0239014419 | $40.00 |
| 02-28 10:34 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $189.23 |
| 02-28 07:39 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.5754416775 | $163.00 |
| 02-28 07:27 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.389999999 | $164.00 |
| 02-28 07:26 | US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.9841350014 | $328.04 |