Howell94
0x651f1a91ec587245750fc4e8d7ae92ca1312c919
- Realised P&L
- $-4.14
- Volume
- $261.54
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $2.75 | −$0.00 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.985 | 0.983 | $2.29 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.13at 0.958Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?
- +$0.06at 0.974Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
- +$0.03at 0.984Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?
- +$0.02at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.75 |
| 09-16 01:05 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.30 |
| 09-08 19:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9829996958 | $2.11 |
| 09-08 19:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.68 |
| 09-03 13:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9879998767 | $1.57 |
| 09-03 13:31 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0229999911 | $2.49 |
| 09-03 13:29 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.97299999 | $2.23 |
| 08-28 09:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.0140000001 | $1.91 |
| 08-28 09:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9549999884 | $2.89 |