0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376
0x6519259c2b215ee3c958e57276ac9d679d3e611b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $484.3k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $11.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.678Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$3.7kat 0.368Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
- +$2.0kat 0.670Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$1.7kat 0.767Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$1.4kat 0.945Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3524210526 | $33.48 |
| 07-26 23:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.942460313 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 07-26 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.6146948421 | $180.79 |
| 07-26 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $7.76 |
| 07-24 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 00:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 23:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1413046712 | $25.00 |
| 07-22 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 07-22 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999928 | $25.00 |