0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376
0x6519259c2b215ee3c958e57276ac9d679d3e611b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $612.6k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.4kat 0.618Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$7.3kat 0.678Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$3.7kat 0.368Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
- +$2.3kat 0.660Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?
- +$2.0kat 0.670Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 21:49 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.9399999998 | $960.00 |
| 10-04 21:29 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.4k |
| 10-04 21:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.4k |
| 10-04 21:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8289999999 | $1.3k |
| 10-04 21:06 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.3k |
| 10-04 20:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7954830315 | $1.0k |
| 10-03 13:15 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $522.51 |
| 10-03 13:12 | Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.83 | $126.66 |
| 10-03 13:10 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8 | $731.15 |
| 10-03 13:08 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.7499999975 | $149.95 |
| 10-03 13:07 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.7 | $80.50 |
| 10-03 00:09 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.8875806452 | $110.06 |
| 10-03 00:08 | Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.8311111111 | $9.35 |
| 10-02 19:10 | Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.7584754506 | $119.10 |
| 10-02 19:08 | Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.47 |