Trowah
0x65188a47ecd99cc8af3f369ef5cd4bdec883b97c
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $595.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.839 | $351.98 | −$49.02 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No | 0.772 | 0.939 | $243.15 | +$43.15 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on October 28? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on October 28? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.554Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
- +$317.30at 0.794Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$147.55at 0.673Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$127.26at 0.826Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
- +$107.89at 0.793Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 08:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 18:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on October 27? | BUY | 0.003961714 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 18:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C on October 27? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 11:50 | Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? | BUY | 0.9657958848 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 00:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 10-25 23:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 23:05 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | SELL | 0.0420849598 | $1.83 |
| 10-25 22:56 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.1147907938 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 22:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 07:59 | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? | SELL | 0.72 | $116.13 |
| 10-20 04:11 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 04:06 | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 20:54 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.7718187214 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 20:53 | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $100.00 |