nihac
0x65185f947b2a809ac45e117957e6244af9028e0d
- Realised P&L
- $-11.34
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $0.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.70at 0.749Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
- +$35.60at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 12?
- +$35.60at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?
- +$35.58at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
- +$21.50at 0.570Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG (BO3)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 05:31 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.10 |
| 09-08 04:51 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.04 |
| 09-07 08:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.21 |
| 08-17 07:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $11.20 |
| 08-17 07:38 | Iran leadership change by August 22? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.60 |
| 07-17 07:47 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999852 | $12.80 |
| 06-04 08:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $71.00 |
| 05-26 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $71.00 |
| 05-22 13:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $71.00 |
| 05-21 11:36 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999869 | $71.00 |
| 05-09 11:45 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m? | BUY | 0.999 | $71.00 |
| 05-07 11:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7? | BUY | 0.9979999939 | $71.00 |
| 05-03 12:00 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.00 |
| 05-03 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 5? | BUY | 0.0041651394 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |