0x65146517f109ff39670ef3d15169695d823cc6cc
0x65146517f109ff39670ef3d15169695d823cc6cc
- Realised P&L
- $-8.30
- Volume
- $108.59
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $4.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 1.000 | $1.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.685 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.285 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.310 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.70at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$0.83at 0.550Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:46 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:33 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:07 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:02 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:03 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:44 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:11 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:11 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:53 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 22:05 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 10:46 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |