Lord95
0x650545f47eaf0d743de2db38c96aae71de5be409
- Realised P&L
- $-54.84
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $20.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.955 | $20.17 | −$0.33 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 6? · No | 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.16at 0.670UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$6.86at 0.830Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$2.53at 0.860Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
- +$1.92at 0.952Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
- +$1.87at 0.940Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:18 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $20.50 |
| 09-24 19:08 | Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.00 |
| 09-18 21:05 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9952669263 | $20.10 |
| 09-04 18:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999804 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 22:39 | Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 22:31 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 22:29 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-01 23:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 03-29 19:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | BUY | 0.9909999656 | $13.00 |
| 01-22 04:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | BUY | 0.8869999829 | $33.02 |
| 01-19 13:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 19? | BUY | 0.9689999926 | $32.00 |
| 01-16 23:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $39.91 |
| 01-15 17:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.9519999996 | $38.00 |
| 01-10 23:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.00 |
| 01-02 02:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 3? | BUY | 0.996 | $40.84 |