CryptoPuchok
0x64ff984a6d295717ad90de4bfe90835974d42747
- Realised P&L
- $669.14
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $346.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.510 | $346.97 | +$252.85 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$377.63at 0.124Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$104.10at 0.156Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$92.56at 0.519Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?
- +$38.16at 0.315Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$21.93at 0.932Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:38 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $21.20 |
| 09-30 20:26 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.4416809658 | $144.15 |
| 09-30 20:21 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.5884250521 | $488.69 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3064052529 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1198175708 | $99.51 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? | BUY | 0.50894644 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1383387319 | $99.65 |
| 09-30 13:00 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.66 |
| 09-30 13:00 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9398519724 | $76.19 |
| 09-30 13:00 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9309999999 | $10.47 |
| 09-30 13:00 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.28 |
| 09-29 19:53 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.969 | $9.69 |
| 09-28 19:46 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September? | BUY | 0.9688143974 | $326.68 |
| 09-28 13:26 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.90 |
| 09-27 19:08 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |