PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoPuchok

0x64ff984a6d295717ad90de4bfe90835974d42747

Realised P&L
$669.14
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$346.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1380.510$346.97+$252.85
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 21:38Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.53$21.20
09-30 20:26Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.4416809658$144.15
09-30 20:21Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.5884250521$488.69
09-30 20:06Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3064052529$100.00
09-30 20:06Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1198175708$99.51
09-30 20:06Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?BUY0.50894644$100.00
09-30 20:06Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1383387319$99.65
09-30 13:00Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?BUY0.94$6.66
09-30 13:00Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?BUY0.9398519724$76.19
09-30 13:00Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?BUY0.9309999999$10.47
09-30 13:00Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?BUY0.95$95.28
09-29 19:53Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September?BUY0.969$9.69
09-28 19:46Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?BUY0.9688143974$326.68
09-28 13:26Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?BUY0.2$1.90
09-27 19:08Chiefs vs. DolphinsBUY0.1899999962$2.00