Noahlin
0x64fc55f04b82838f5d200ffa06717f66db6f67aa
- Realised P&L
- $2.72
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $2.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USDTb depeg by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.790 | $2.48 | −$0.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? · No | 0.958 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.735Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$5.61at 0.943Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$5.29at 0.964Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$4.54at 0.992Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?
- +$3.85at 0.986Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 06:53 | USDTb depeg by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $5.33 |
| 07-02 02:47 | USDTb depeg by December 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.77 |
| 07-02 02:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 07-02 02:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $31.90 |
| 07-02 02:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $13.20 |
| 02-09 19:40 | Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.973 | $116.76 |
| 02-05 16:55 | Over $200M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 02-03 08:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | BUY | 0.958 | $20.82 |
| 01-29 12:19 | Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.974 | $116.88 |
| 01-26 23:44 | Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.49 |
| 01-26 23:43 | Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.49 |
| 01-26 23:43 | Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.49 |
| 01-26 23:43 | Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.49 |
| 01-26 23:42 | Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.49 |
| 01-26 23:42 | Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.49 |