wgoodwin
0x64fa1ab3b4b293afc5afabd657189c8d6043bcf6
- Realised P&L
- $-27.82
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $38.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Maria Sakkari vs Storm Hunter · Maria Sakkari | 0.700 | 0.705 | $23.29 | +$0.17 |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m? · No | 0.810 | 0.935 | $15.16 | +$2.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.36at 0.660Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
- +$2.52at 0.999XRP all time high in April?
- +$0.60at 0.570Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
- +$0.51at 0.410Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?
- +$0.19at 0.450Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:24 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9829999988 | $9.99 |
| 01-30 12:47 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.02 |
| 01-30 12:01 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.16 |
| 01-30 11:58 | Will Chainlink hit $19 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.57 |
| 12-30 14:57 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999938 | $8.72 |
| 12-30 13:56 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.11 |
| 12-30 01:47 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999956 | $18.90 |
| 12-29 21:13 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.01 |
| 12-29 19:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999987 | $22.94 |
| 10-30 23:15 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.59 |
| 10-30 17:47 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $26.83 |
| 09-29 14:17 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.31 |
| 09-29 10:13 | Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.30 |
| 09-29 04:18 | Will XRP reach $5.00 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.16 |
| 09-29 01:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.50 |