PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

37.2431N115.7930W

0x64f8e712f9b85424de823b06658817af81dd32f9

Realised P&L
$-27.5k
Volume
$1.63M
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$203.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0310.004$203.20$1.6k
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$19.92
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$5.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.3370.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Up0.0340.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.0550.000$0.00$50.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.0020.000$0.00$3.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.1390.000$0.00$5.00
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$10.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$65.92
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$1.00
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5 · Over0.0050.000$0.00$1.39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$14.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:11Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.004$5.00
09-17 18:09XRP Up or Down - September 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-17 18:08Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.3366336447$5.00
09-17 18:08Solana Up or Down - September 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.1651376135$5.00
09-17 18:08Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.1393728223$5.00
09-17 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.01$70.00
09-17 17:58Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.004$10.00
09-16 10:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.0699999999$52.45
09-16 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.0539634662$45.63
09-16 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.0349969529$56.85
09-03 12:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.08$10.00
09-03 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-17 12:28Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0174588813$105.30
08-17 12:27Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0166385736$5.00
08-17 12:27Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.016$1.00