movie
0x64ee2d3a896926dec028aabdd8cd20c29718637c
- Realised P&L
- $-37.81
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $33.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $33.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.77at 0.500CEHL: Karlovy Vary vs. Liberec
- +$1.43at 0.900Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.28at 0.984Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.21at 0.960Fed rate cut by July 31?
- +$0.94at 0.978Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:33 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 08-27 08:23 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.93 |
| 07-17 13:56 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.95 |
| 06-17 06:55 | Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 05-20 03:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 05-10 03:27 | Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $138.86 |
| 04-17 02:37 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.92 |
| 03-16 14:56 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.53 |
| 02-23 11:14 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.75 |
| 02-11 14:27 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February? | BUY | 0.994 | $38.47 |
| 02-01 11:46 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $39.80 |
| 12-29 07:51 | Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28? | BUY | 0.9849999784 | $36.98 |
| 11-30 09:14 | Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30? | BUY | 0.9960188966 | $56.75 |
| 10-27 14:44 | Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? | BUY | 0.9929999852 | $26.56 |
| 09-24 13:29 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9937955564 | $28.00 |