PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x64e1f39161ef5a1a4c76365f07919706bfe4461b

Realised P&L
$16.93
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
201
Open portfolio
$77.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded201
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 5%-10%? · No0.9500.915$8.93$0.34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.1800.180$6.00+$0.00
Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz · Leyre Romero Gormaz0.7321.000$5.46+$1.46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0800.160$4.00+$2.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more? · No0.9000.895$2.68$0.01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.1370.179$2.60+$0.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.2030.503$2.48+$1.48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.0900.095$2.11+$0.11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6600.675$2.05+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 45%-50%? · Yes0.1210.238$1.97+$0.97
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 18% or more? · No0.9750.955$1.96$0.04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.1800.323$1.79+$0.79
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.3140.320$1.68+$0.03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.1560.244$1.57+$0.57
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.1500.210$1.40+$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 15:44Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero GormazBUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-21 15:35Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero GormazBUY0.74$1.00
09-21 15:35Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero GormazBUY0.75$1.00
09-21 15:34Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero GormazBUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-21 13:29Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.2029999742$1.00
09-21 11:49Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?BUY0.0239999998$1.00
09-21 10:31Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?SELL0.89$0.28
09-21 10:09Plovdiv 4: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita MashtakovBUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-21 10:06Plovdiv 4: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita MashtakovBUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-21 10:06Plovdiv 4: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita MashtakovBUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-21 09:21Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.2389999668$1.00
09-21 06:59Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-21 03:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?BUY0.89999928$1.00
09-21 03:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?SELL0.88$0.01
09-21 02:37Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?BUY0.4$1.00