0x64e1f39161ef5a1a4c76365f07919706bfe4461b
- Realised P&L
- $16.93
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $77.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.68at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$7.79at 0.213XRP Up or Down - September 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$5.96at 0.410Dogecoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$4.82at 0.514XRP Up or Down - September 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$4.71at 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:44 | Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:35 | Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:35 | Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:34 | Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:29 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.2029999742 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:49 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 10:31 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.28 |
| 09-21 10:09 | Plovdiv 4: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Mashtakov | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 10:06 | Plovdiv 4: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Mashtakov | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 10:06 | Plovdiv 4: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Mashtakov | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.2389999668 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:59 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 03:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more? | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 03:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 02:37 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |