PolyBot

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Traders

ivrj

0x64e0a7db69c1465599e05523200e554302617527

Realised P&L
$139.91
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$39.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.3400.335$14.78−$0.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.7700.745$14.51−$0.49
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.5100.138$5.39−$14.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.3200.310$4.84−$0.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00−$10.00
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) · Thiago Moises0.4710.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Derrick Lewis0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 09:08Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.7699999954$15.00
10-15 09:08Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.32$5.00
10-15 09:07Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.3399999927$15.00
08-06 10:50UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.75$54.70
07-22 07:16Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula BadosaBUY0.64$35.44
07-05 16:54Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.5889858726$51.69
07-05 16:49Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5499999931$20.00
07-05 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.2299999692$5.00
07-05 12:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-04 09:01Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.5999999976$50.00
06-22 10:54Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2079999839$10.00
06-18 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.209999974$5.00
06-18 10:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.3499999615$5.00
06-18 10:07Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.0299999943$5.00
06-16 11:03Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?BUY0.25$5.00