PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shjaha

0x64de9e24a4191363ea4c402a803cd2b24afbdcf0

Realised P&L
$-11.6k
Volume
$407.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6650.145$1.2k$4.2k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2300.065$200.73$509.55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.055$69.26$270.74
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 20:05Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.7799999997$500.00
05-19 18:17US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.2699999995$340.00
04-29 19:27Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.4$345.00
04-26 08:59Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2299999998$710.28
04-24 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSELL0.7$106.54
04-24 11:11Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.3823503154$91.11
04-24 11:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.64$94.82
04-24 11:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.5099999786$9.29
04-24 11:08Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.02$0.86
04-24 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.08$8.68
04-24 10:43Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSELL0.73$15.66
04-24 10:42Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.2199999727$4.44
04-24 10:40Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.3899999701$5.47
04-23 12:07Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?BUY0.9643193011$793.33
04-21 11:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.86$682.27