QIEMALI
0x64d9867e2182a3eb2e4d9f5a4c59a5052717ee5c
- Realised P&L
- $23.00
- Volume
- $110.53
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $32.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.963 | $24.06 | +$9.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.630 | 1.000 | $8.00 | +$2.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.72at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$1.65at 0.835Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$0.60at 0.880Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.04 |
| 08-10 05:57 | Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 04-13 01:20 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.989 | $30.92 |
| 04-10 07:17 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7099999731 | $22.20 |
| 02-12 07:09 | Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 02-12 07:02 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 02-10 08:47 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |