0x64D87B5F9326A1b0e8cDebE73d169f16bA2659a3-1761899875050
0x64d87b5f9326a1b0e8cdebe73d169f16ba2659a3
- Realised P&L
- $24.47
- Volume
- $988.37
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $42.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:09 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0663365755 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 13:33 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 13:33 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0969999157 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:57 | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 13:34 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.0625886222 | $1.90 |
| 07-26 04:11 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.2479999667 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 10:57 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.1949999264 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 10:54 | Japan recession in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 23:42 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.3036646655 | $3.54 |
| 07-18 11:10 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.22 |
| 07-18 11:08 | Japan recession in 2026? | BUY | 0.0984722972 | $6.00 |
| 07-12 10:51 | Japan recession in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 09:16 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0857142122 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 11:51 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%? | BUY | 0.138999892 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 11:46 | Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |