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0x64D87B5F9326A1b0e8cDebE73d169f16bA2659a3-1761899875050

0x64d87b5f9326a1b0e8cdebe73d169f16ba2659a3

Realised P&L
$24.47
Volume
$988.37
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$42.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Japan recession in 2026? · Yes0.1200.340$36.69+$23.69
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.1160.085$2.93$1.07
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0790.048$1.22$0.78
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95$0.05
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1900.052$0.27$0.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$1.00
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00$1.00
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:09Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0663365755$1.00
08-01 13:33Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-01 13:33Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0969999157$1.00
08-01 08:57Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?BUY0.1099999685$3.00
07-31 13:34Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.0625886222$1.90
07-26 04:11Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.2479999667$5.00
07-24 10:57Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.1949999264$2.00
07-24 10:54Japan recession in 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
07-20 23:42Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.3036646655$3.54
07-18 11:10Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?SELL0.03$0.22
07-18 11:08Japan recession in 2026?BUY0.0984722972$6.00
07-12 10:51Japan recession in 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-05 09:16Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0857142122$1.00
07-04 11:51Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?BUY0.138999892$1.00
07-04 11:46Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
Trader 0x64D87B5F9326A1b0e8cDebE73d169f16bA2659a3-1761899875050 · PolyBot