See2026
0x64cac20998a5c985981f45b6f3d0dfc382533252
- Realised P&L
- $-507.41
- Volume
- $38.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,775
- Open portfolio
- $28.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,775
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? · Up | 0.500 | 0.405 | $28.35 | −$6.65 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.318 | 0.002 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? · Down | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.88at 0.373Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2PM ET
- +$24.74at 0.456Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3PM ET
- +$22.37at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1PM ET
- +$20.03at 0.426Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3AM ET
- +$17.61at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $28.50 |
| 10-05 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SELL | 0.46 | $22.56 |
| 10-05 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.5299999976 | $26.00 |
| 10-05 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.3179999078 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.532 | $10.75 |
| 10-05 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.1237918381 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-05 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-04 21:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.27 |
| 10-04 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 10-04 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-04 03:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-02 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |