Kristinochka
0x64c6069071e055d26501f121e950690c8c9b8f19
- Realised P&L
- $-470.77
- Volume
- $29.8k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $330.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.978 | $293.40 | +$23.40 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.150 | $22.09 | −$55.39 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · No | 0.700 | 0.305 | $15.25 | −$19.75 |
| Pelicans vs. Heat · Pelicans | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.99 |
| Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.65 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Bowling vs. UMass · UMass | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.28 |
| Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.19 |
| Stars vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.76at 0.810Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?
- +$217.60at 0.320Spurs vs. Lakers
- +$190.50at 0.619Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$144.00at 0.280Cavaliers vs. Hawks
- +$126.00at 0.160Rockets vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 08:53 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $29.00 |
| 05-06 06:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.81 | $82.62 |
| 05-06 06:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? | BUY | 0.983 | $294.90 |
| 05-06 06:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | BUY | 0.983 | $294.90 |
| 03-05 07:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | BUY | 0.989 | $308.32 |
| 03-05 07:48 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? | BUY | 0.991 | $337.82 |
| 02-28 07:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? | SELL | 0.998 | $53.95 |
| 02-08 14:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? | BUY | 0.982 | $178.27 |
| 02-08 14:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? | BUY | 0.982 | $304.42 |
| 02-08 14:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? | BUY | 0.991 | $204.85 |
| 02-04 09:11 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 01-25 09:09 | Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $47.70 |
| 01-25 09:09 | Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $29.79 |
| 01-03 10:00 | Timberwolves vs. Heat | BUY | 0.44 | $103.40 |
| 12-14 08:53 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.987 | $565.71 |