PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ba8f

0x64b4cc660c2a0d784f4ba9c44b086adcbe3cba8f

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$1.26M
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$17.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9600.987$9.9k+$270.28
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.9770.946$2.9k−$96.23
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9590.994$2.8k+$97.34
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8000.958$957.50+$157.50
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9760.970$294.42−$1.77
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.7860.755$281.62−$11.46
Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5700.610$3.66+$0.24
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.3670.000$0.00−$252.35
Lighter Airdrop on December 24? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$9.39
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00−$237.19
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$33.00
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.9850.000$0.00−$2.4k
Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$20.51
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 16:44Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.7857184987$293.07
10-25 08:43Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.95997311$9.6k
10-25 08:42Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.9898184$2.5k
10-25 08:41Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.9872840264$212.25
10-25 08:41Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9875076923$1.9k
10-25 08:41Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9834810127$1.2k
10-25 08:40Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.984$74.77
10-23 16:31Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.969$43.60
10-23 16:24Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.9772262333$2.9k
10-21 10:47Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.979$29.47
06-02 15:39MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.007$7.00
05-27 06:57Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?SELL0.999$9.0k
05-25 04:34Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.99$8.9k
05-25 03:20Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?BUY0.02$1.00
05-24 23:51Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?BUY0.7372413793$427.60