Ba8f
0x64b4cc660c2a0d784f4ba9c44b086adcbe3cba8f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $17.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.7kat 0.858Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$5.9kat 0.820Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$5.1kat 0.197Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$1.9kat 0.561Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$1.6kat 0.903Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:44 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7857184987 | $293.07 |
| 10-25 08:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95997311 | $9.6k |
| 10-25 08:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9898184 | $2.5k |
| 10-25 08:41 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9872840264 | $212.25 |
| 10-25 08:41 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9875076923 | $1.9k |
| 10-25 08:41 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9834810127 | $1.2k |
| 10-25 08:40 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.984 | $74.77 |
| 10-23 16:31 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $43.60 |
| 10-23 16:24 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9772262333 | $2.9k |
| 10-21 10:47 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.979 | $29.47 |
| 06-02 15:39 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 05-27 06:57 | Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.0k |
| 05-25 04:34 | Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.9k |
| 05-25 03:20 | Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 23:51 | Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken? | BUY | 0.7372413793 | $427.60 |