mkh701124
0x64a5dc0bbd4e8b07391b656fa01ed04b7cbee5a0
- Realised P&L
- $-110.62
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $17.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.32at 0.446Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$57.59at 0.869Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$17.08at 0.547Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$15.15at 0.377Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$15.00at 0.250Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 01:56 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? | BUY | 0.2159230769 | $14.03 |
| 06-02 16:07 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.369999979 | $9.00 |
| 05-01 15:16 | Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.906 | $49.83 |
| 05-01 15:15 | Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $21.71 |
| 02-08 03:28 | Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 01-30 03:28 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.69 | $8.63 |
| 01-22 02:41 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $13.60 |
| 01-09 12:19 | Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-09 12:15 | Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6099999915 | $15.00 |
| 01-09 12:13 | Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 01-03 08:31 | Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 01-03 08:30 | Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 01-01 16:18 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 05:06 | Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.08 | $8.02 |
| 12-25 13:33 | Mavericks vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |