PolyBot

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Traders

mkh701124

0x64a5dc0bbd4e8b07391b656fa01ed04b7cbee5a0

Realised P&L
$-110.62
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$17.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? · Yes0.2160.231$15.02+$0.98
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5600.520$1.86−$0.14
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1500.025$0.25−$1.24
Bitcoin above $114K on August 20? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Nuggets vs. Thunder · Nuggets0.9800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$0.93
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 1? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$1.05
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.96
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1330.000$0.00−$1.00
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5160.000$0.00−$59.40
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 01:56Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?BUY0.2159230769$14.03
06-02 16:07Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.369999979$9.00
05-01 15:16Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.906$49.83
05-01 15:15Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.82$21.71
02-08 03:28Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.93$4.65
01-30 03:28Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.69$8.63
01-22 02:41Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.34$13.60
01-09 12:19Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
01-09 12:15Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6099999915$15.00
01-09 12:13Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.83$24.90
01-03 08:31Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
01-03 08:30Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?BUY0.9$100.00
01-01 16:18Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
12-29 05:06Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.08$8.02
12-25 13:33Mavericks vs. WarriorsBUY0.2699999681$5.00