Barcafansaodk
0x64a1e2b537de3df6aac3f0ade2a73741ef68bf48
- Realised P&L
- $-3.74
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $495.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.23at 0.500Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
- +$4.22at 0.500EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$4.16at 0.500Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
- +$4.12at 0.500Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
- +$4.11at 0.500Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 06:41 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.888 | $7.55 |
| 03-05 06:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.01 |
| 03-05 06:38 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $8.18 |
| 03-05 06:36 | Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $16.68 |
| 03-03 08:47 | Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $8.19 |
| 03-03 08:45 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.57 |
| 03-03 08:44 | Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |
| 03-03 08:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.57 |
| 03-03 08:41 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.05 |
| 03-03 08:40 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.39 |
| 03-03 08:38 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |
| 03-03 08:36 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.05 |
| 03-03 08:32 | USD1 depeg by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.99 |
| 03-03 08:30 | Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.57 |
| 03-03 08:29 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.99 |