ELRoble
0x649b11717d88e515ef9d45988de6364c68ca9f21
- Realised P&L
- $-1.70
- Volume
- $49.10
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.355 | $2.05 | −$0.20 |
| Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.300 | $1.57 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.845Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?
- +$-2.36at 0.162Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:49 | Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3599999464 | $1.88 |
| 10-20 10:49 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $2.25 |
| 08-18 14:07 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.8399997735 | $3.56 |
| 08-18 13:58 | Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.41 |
| 08-01 14:35 | Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.1570479705 | $2.66 |