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Traders

TimothyCarr1651

0x6499ba163ae00c1bb6c2ad51f90c3ff69bc905d2

Realised P&L
$-279.07
Volume
$266.6k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$435.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.3400.952$255.95+$164.49
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.830$129.48+$106.08
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8500.170$38.59$154.36
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3100.215$8.81$3.90
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes0.0170.104$2.08+$1.74
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3200.735$0.73+$0.41
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8100.055$0.06$0.76
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.025$0.03$0.19
Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026? · No0.2400.000$0.00$0.24
Will TheDev win the Defi App trading competition? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$2.19
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election? · No0.2900.000$0.00$1.16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$2.79
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$4.84
Syria strikes Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$2.29
Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 04:25Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.12$5.88
02-08 20:50Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.52$2.60
02-08 20:28Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.962$16.35
02-08 19:44Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?SELL0.09$4.41
02-08 18:55Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.924$10.16
02-08 18:54Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.924$16.63
02-08 18:53Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.925$51.80
02-08 18:52Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.924$66.53
01-11 22:26Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$553.52
01-11 19:57Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.55$179.30
01-11 19:51Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.52$48.36
01-11 19:50Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.52$162.24
01-11 19:48Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.53$86.39
01-11 19:42Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL0.24$70.56
01-11 19:41Will the US strike Iran next?SELL0.81$218.70