PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

QwackQwack

0x648e0f102dcd662ddfb218c310145c6dd1e10596

Realised P&L
$-4.19
Volume
$62.1k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$64.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0160.028$28.36+$11.86
Georgia vs. Alabama · Alabama0.5000.525$21.00+$1.00
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.0700.083$15.37+$2.37
Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$17.71
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.40
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$2.70
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$7.19
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$19.70
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$7.50
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Miami make the College Football Playoff? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00−$72.80
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 18:20Georgia vs. AlabamaBUY0.5$20.00
09-16 15:28Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.0701990289$13.00
07-14 21:25Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$1.94
07-06 01:43Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0010324233$2.00
07-06 01:39Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$2.20
07-06 01:38Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$5.00
07-06 01:19Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999907$15.00
07-03 22:30Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.006$4.70
07-03 22:08Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.0339999979$15.00
06-29 05:53Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
06-29 05:42Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?BUY0.001$2.20
06-26 02:00Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.4699999929$20.00
04-03 00:45Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.016$16.50
09-26 10:56Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?BUY0.0218253968$6.60
02-11 18:40Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? BUY0.4099999836$5.00