PolyBot

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Traders

0x647e679f6b9975bc9bdbed8203616e219aa518ba

0x647e679f6b9975bc9bdbed8203616e219aa518ba

Realised P&L
$-3.04
Volume
$358.41
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$3.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes0.3260.649$1.99+$0.99
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.450$1.00+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.3600.135$0.38−$0.62
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 15:26Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-08 19:25Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3259999641$1.00
10-08 11:01Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-08 03:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-07 06:21Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-06 22:18Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-03 06:58Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-02 22:47Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.6899996964$1.00
09-30 12:59Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-30 04:59Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?BUY0.75$1.00
09-26 14:59Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-26 06:11Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-25 22:06Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7699995842$1.00
09-20 07:19Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
09-19 09:37Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3599999712$2.00