PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6474bEc7b6F4dF6c0687bB81Ce863Adc1912e0f9-1769199260836

0x6474bec7b6f4df6c0687bb81ce863adc1912e0f9

Realised P&L
$-82.37
Volume
$27.9k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$5.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? · Yes0.1980.115$5.81$4.19
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up0.3810.000$0.00$15.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up0.5050.000$0.00$31.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.2590.000$0.00$120.45
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.99
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down0.5120.000$0.00$10.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$25.00
Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events? · Yes0.4520.000$0.00$6.12
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.3090.000$0.00$16.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.489999992$25.00
09-17 17:25Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?BUY0.1978239367$10.00
09-17 17:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.9299999993$25.00
09-07 12:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.02$1.29
09-06 21:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.149999976$5.00
09-06 21:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.149999976$5.00
09-06 21:05Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.006$0.85
09-06 21:03Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.001$10.00
09-04 12:47Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.2221156659$31.42
04-25 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.4599999939$27.67
04-23 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.2299999869$8.89
04-23 08:25Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.3799999833$9.11
04-23 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.4732047794$9.24
04-22 22:28Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?BUY0.359999977$4.74
04-22 19:11Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.5544554296$9.36