0x6474bEc7b6F4dF6c0687bB81Ce863Adc1912e0f9-1769199260836
0x6474bec7b6f4df6c0687bb81ce863adc1912e0f9
- Realised P&L
- $-82.37
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $5.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.07at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$30.81at 0.549Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$26.25at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$21.36at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$13.93at 0.583Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.489999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 17:25 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.1978239367 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $25.00 |
| 09-07 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.29 |
| 09-06 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 21:05 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.85 |
| 09-06 21:03 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 12:47 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.2221156659 | $31.42 |
| 04-25 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $27.67 |
| 04-23 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $8.89 |
| 04-23 08:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $9.11 |
| 04-23 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4732047794 | $9.24 |
| 04-22 22:28 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $4.74 |
| 04-22 19:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5544554296 | $9.36 |