0x64706Cb31D96816669bD8bA115aa119ad678eA0A-1769682714598
0x64706cb31d96816669bd8ba115aa119ad678ea0a
- Realised P&L
- $-557.09
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $4.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.605 | $3.02 | +$0.07 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.375 | $1.88 | +$0.17 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? · No | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$209.81 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.37 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.10 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.97at 0.290Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$27.86at 0.350Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.38at 0.320Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
- +$0.19at 0.940Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
- +$-5.00at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 11:25 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 07-22 11:25 | Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 07-21 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 23? | BUY | 0.0201220336 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 09:59 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3499999918 | $15.00 |
| 07-12 18:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 17:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1759999949 | $25.00 |
| 06-06 15:37 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 17:50 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 06-02 17:47 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 20:27 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 20:26 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 20:15 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.2299999767 | $7.10 |
| 03-17 18:18 | Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | BUY | 0.0893760738 | $100.00 |
| 02-01 15:27 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.6099999977 | $99.86 |
| 01-30 00:58 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.6095643125 | $199.51 |