PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfgujfxiur

0x646a35ea194687da4db067a92303b6929b709230

Realised P&L
$-15.87
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$4.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? · No0.7600.967$1.27+$0.27
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? · Yes0.9501.000$1.11+$0.06
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? · No0.9601.000$1.08+$0.04
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-37 House seat? · Yes0.9200.971$1.06+$0.06
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 05:25Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$169.83
06-01 05:25Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.992$159.83
06-01 05:25Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$89.99
05-29 09:06Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$90.00
05-29 09:05Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.993$160.00
05-29 09:04Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$170.00
04-30 05:30Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.991$109.88
04-28 06:14Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.992$110.00
04-16 04:50Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.998$211.79
04-16 04:50Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.989$125.87
04-16 04:49Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.991$99.69
04-13 09:47Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.99$126.00
04-13 09:46Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.994$100.00
04-13 09:45Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.999$212.00
02-15 08:03Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.988$93.80