Degener4ts
0x646941a8f71c33d808d5b18010b3064c9f469e9d
- Realised P&L
- $-15.52
- Volume
- $365.87
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $168.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? · No | 0.642 | 1.000 | $72.37 | +$25.88 |
| Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? · No | 0.557 | 1.000 | $67.24 | +$29.75 |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.525 | $21.39 | −$1.10 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? · No | 0.690 | 0.740 | $5.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.310 | 0.130 | $2.30 | −$3.19 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? · Yes | 0.429 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.79at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 01:02 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.3099999684 | $5.49 |
| 03-22 01:01 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 03-22 01:01 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BUY | 0.6189381672 | $22.50 |
| 03-22 01:00 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.509999986 | $13.50 |
| 03-21 06:42 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BUY | 0.6677491072 | $18.99 |
| 03-21 06:41 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.629999986 | $8.99 |
| 03-21 06:41 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21? | BUY | 0.5399999936 | $17.00 |
| 03-21 06:41 | Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5603806359 | $32.49 |
| 03-21 06:30 | Maduro guilty of all counts? | BUY | 0.6899998965 | $5.00 |
| 03-21 06:30 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 03-21 06:29 | Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 03-21 06:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.97 |
| 03-21 05:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.428999816 | $1.00 |