lucelo
0x64646feefb70f419a2e0b384a07e2cb2d3f599ad
- Realised P&L
- $-750.13
- Volume
- $84.9k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $28.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.50at 0.500Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
- +$56.50at 0.500Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on February 21?
- +$16.94at 0.680Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
- +$16.50at 0.500Dogecoin above $0.34 on January 17?
- +$15.00at 0.500Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 07:48 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 07-29 02:53 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 07-14 06:49 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 07-14 05:03 | Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East? | SELL | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 07-14 04:39 | Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2 | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 07-14 02:56 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 07-14 00:44 | Will Benjamin James finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship? | SELL | 0.57232 | $28.62 |
| 07-14 00:43 | Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 07-14 00:43 | Will Ben Martin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 07-13 08:06 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22? | SELL | 0.0771225 | $3.08 |
| 07-13 08:06 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.49 |
| 07-13 01:28 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.34 |
| 07-13 01:21 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 07-13 01:15 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 07-09 02:47 | Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.80 |