0x6461c674a0309341806AD12c59C2f53a17508fc4-1765549080006
0x6461c674a0309341806ad12c59c2f53a17508fc4
- Realised P&L
- $9.06
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $29.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $29.04 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.972Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$0.38at 0.987Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?
- +$0.37at 0.984Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
- +$0.35at 0.985Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9989999677 | $29.03 |
| 09-27 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.00 |
| 09-26 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.97 |
| 09-24 09:15 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9989999989 | $28.94 |
| 09-23 10:26 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9988272504 | $28.91 |
| 09-22 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9989999969 | $28.88 |
| 09-21 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9989999962 | $28.86 |
| 09-20 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $28.47 |
| 09-19 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.45 |
| 09-18 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989999806 | $28.42 |
| 09-17 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.36 |
| 09-16 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9989999778 | $28.34 |
| 09-15 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9989999767 | $28.31 |
| 09-14 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9989999756 | $28.28 |
| 09-13 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.26 |