PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x645ff61306521eb5fe832baa924fff0d0d3e2734

Realised P&L
$-288.50
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$314.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:45Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.14$8.54
09-15 21:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.2$7.20
09-15 21:38Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.14$1.54
09-15 21:29Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.039$1.09
09-15 21:28Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.14$1.40
09-15 21:21Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.007$3.01
09-15 21:18Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?SELL0.25$3.75
09-15 21:17Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$9.36
09-15 21:13Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.03$3.00
09-15 21:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.21$7.56
09-15 21:11Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?SELL0.29$6.38
09-15 21:08Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.03$4.20
09-15 21:06Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.15$9.15
09-15 21:01Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.40
09-15 20:59Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.005$1.65