0x645ff61306521eb5fe832baa924fff0d0d3e2734
- Realised P&L
- $-288.50
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $314.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.008Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$0.00at 0.560Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?
- +$0.00at 0.550Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.650Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
- +$0.00at 0.760Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 12%-15%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:45 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $8.54 |
| 09-15 21:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $7.20 |
| 09-15 21:38 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.54 |
| 09-15 21:29 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.039 | $1.09 |
| 09-15 21:28 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-15 21:21 | Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.01 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 09-15 21:17 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.36 |
| 09-15 21:13 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 21:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $7.56 |
| 09-15 21:11 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.38 |
| 09-15 21:08 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.20 |
| 09-15 21:06 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.15 |
| 09-15 21:01 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.40 |
| 09-15 20:59 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.65 |