TenjoUtena
0x6458e0737e7786064a0129ce2881b8d168d6f826
- Realised P&L
- $100.15
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $427.58
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $105.21 | +$5.21 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 23? · No | 0.950 | 0.960 | $101.05 | +$1.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23? · No | 0.690 | 0.900 | $97.82 | +$22.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23? · No | 0.950 | 0.975 | $66.46 | +$1.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 22? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $28.38 | +$1.41 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 22? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $16.29 | +$1.30 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 23? · No | 0.920 | 0.990 | $12.38 | +$0.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 12? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.27at 0.649Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?
- +$16.96at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?
- +$14.42at 0.779Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 12?
- +$13.52at 0.876Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 20?
- +$12.58at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.69 | $75.00 |
| 09-20 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.95 | $26.97 |
| 09-19 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.87 | $94.56 |
| 09-18 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9095293675 | $96.63 |
| 09-14 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.99 |
| 09-08 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.92 | $81.41 |
| 09-07 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 9? | BUY | 0.89 | $96.73 |
| 08-20 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 21? | BUY | 0.91 | $59.34 |
| 08-15 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.9137110873 | $59.58 |
| 08-14 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.73 | $47.60 |
| 08-14 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $56.08 |
| 08-13 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $58.69 |
| 08-12 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 12? | BUY | 0.77 | $50.21 |
| 08-10 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 11? | BUY | 0.87 | $18.91 |
| 08-09 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.9 | $58.69 |